2008年2月13日水曜日

ヒラリー選対幹部 さらに外れる

ヒラリー選対副主任が辞任した。
ヒラリー選対副主任(直訳:選対本部長代理)マイク・ヘンリーが辞任した。
マイク・ヘンリーは、「アイオワ州の選挙運動は力を込めてしなくてもよい」
と言う方針を出し、後で訂正した人物。
アイオワでは、サクラ学生がヒラリーに地球温暖化の質問もしていたし、
ヒラリーの選対本部は失敗が多かった。
実績がある人みたいだけど、「風」が吹き始めたオバマには跳ね返されたの
かもしれない。


---クリントン氏陣営、選対副主任も辞任---
2008.02.13 Web posted at: 15:29 JST Updated - CNN
http://www.cnn.co.jp/usa/CNN200802130015.html

ワシントン(CNN) 米大統領選の民主党予備選・党員集会でこのところ連敗しているヒラリー・クリントン上院議員の陣営は12日夜、選対副主任を務めていたマイク・ヘンリー氏が辞任したことを認めた。

クリントン氏陣営からは、10日にパティ・ソリス・ドイル選対主任が辞任したばかり。ヘンリー氏はドイル氏によって陣営に起用されていた。ヘンリー氏は選挙事務所のスタッフへの電子メールで、クリントン氏が今後数週間で試練に直面するとの見方を示し、新たな指導者の下で選挙運動を立て直す必要性を指摘した。

ヘンリー氏は2年前、民主党の上院選対策を指揮し、昨年はバージニア州知事選でティム・ケイン氏を当選に導いた。クリントン氏陣営では、初の党員集会が開かれたアイオワ州の選挙運動を飛ばすよう内部文書で提案したが、暴露されて直ちに撤回した。


---Clinton Camp Resists Aide’s Advice to Skip Iowa---
By ADAM NAGOURNEY
Published: May 24, 2007
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/05/24/us/politics/24strategy.html?fta=y

WASHINGTON, May 23 — Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s presidential campaign has considered — and rejected — a plan to stop competing in Iowa, the traditional kickoff state in the nominating process, and to concentrate instead on later states, including the 20 or so that are slated to vote on a single day in early February.

The recommendation to pull out of Iowa was in a memorandum written by Mike Henry, Mrs. Clinton’s deputy campaign manager. He made a case that Iowa would consume too much time and money that could be better invested elsewhere.

Mr. Henry’s memorandum, dated May 21, said Mrs. Clinton would have to spend $15 million and 70 days in the state to be competitive there, and suggested that if she did not pull out she might not have the money she would need for the rapid-fire series of contests that follow. The Iowa caucuses are scheduled for Jan. 14, with the New Hampshire primary eight days later, Florida a week after that and about 20 other states on Feb. 5.

The Clinton campaign said Mr. Henry’s advice had been rejected. Soon after learning that the memorandum would become public, the campaign announced that Mrs. Clinton, a New York Democrat, would be campaigning in Iowa this weekend.

“It’s not the opinion of the campaign,” Mrs. Clinton told Radio Iowa on Wednesday, referring to the memorandum. “It’s not my opinion.”

But the memorandum was evidence of the ways in which the shifting political calendar is forcing campaigns to rethink their traditional strategies and confront complex trade-offs.

“Thirteen of the last 14 major-party nominees have won Iowa, New Hampshire, or both,” Mr. Henry wrote, adding, “but I think this old system is about to collapse, and it will happen this year because of the impact of primary elections that are being held on February 5th.”

“In effect, the Democratic Party is holding a national primary with over 20 states choosing a nominee on Feb. 5,” the memorandum continued. “This new focus forces us to rethink our overall strategy and assess where our time and money are best spent.”

Howard Wolfson, the Clinton campaign’s communications director, said neither Mrs. Clinton nor Mark Penn, her chief strategist, had seen the memorandum. A copy of it was provided to The New York Times by an intermediary who said it had come from a rival campaign.

Any hint that Mrs. Clinton was not committed to winning in Iowa could hurt her there. Recent polls in Iowa have shown Mrs. Clinton trailing John Edwards, the former senator from North Carolina, and Senator Barack Obama of Illinois. And the disclosure of a memorandum suggesting she might not play in Iowa could also have the effect — intended or not — of lowering expectations for her performance there, softening a defeat and or making a victory that much more dramatic.

Candidates in both parties have been struggling to adapt to the new calendar, which has the potential to give the candidates alternate routes to the nomination by giving many more states influence over the choice. On the Republican side, Rudolph W. Giuliani, the former New York mayor, is considering making a token effort in Iowa and concentrating on Florida, which votes on Jan. 29, and on the Feb. 5 states, which include New York, California and New Jersey.

The memorandum provides a rare look into the thinking of a campaign. It says that if Mrs. Clinton decided to compete in Iowa, she would have only $5 million to $10 million left to compete coast to coast in the Feb. 5 contests.

“I believe we need a new approach to winning the Democratic nomination,” Mr. Henry wrote. “This approach involves shifting the focus away from Iowa and running a campaign that is more focused on other early primary states and winning this new national primary. More specifically, I propose skipping the Iowa caucuses and dedicating more of Senator Clinton’s time and financial resources on the primary in New Hampshire on Jan. 22, the Nevada caucus on Jan. 19, the primaries in South Carolina and Florida on Jan. 29 and the 20-plus state primaries on Feb. 5.”

Mr. Wolfson said Mr. Henry would not be available for comment.

“These are Mike’s thoughts,” Mr. Wolfson said. “They do not reflect in any way the campaign or Senator Clinton’s thinking.”

The campaign moved forcefully to rebut the notion that Mrs. Clinton was giving up a state. In addition to announcing her campaign schedule there, aides said that Mrs. Clinton’s media consultant, Mandy Grunwald, was going to Iowa this weekend to tape television advertisements for her while she campaigns there.

Iowa has been fiercely protective of its position in the nominating calendars. Candidates who have skipped the caucuses in the past, most recently in 2004, when Senator Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut and Gen. Wesley K. Clark declined to participate, did it to their regret. Mr. Obama has come under fire from Iowa Democratic leaders for being alone among the main candidates in declining an invitation to attend the Iowa Democratic Party Hall of Fame dinner on June 2.

Mr. Obama said he had a scheduling conflict.

“Bypassing Iowa would be a fatal mistake for any campaign to make,” said Carrie Giddins, the communications director for the Iowa Democratic Party.

Bill Clinton did not campaign in the caucuses when he won his party’s presidential nomination in 1992. In that case, though, Senator Tom Harkin, an Iowa Democrat, was in the race, and most of his rivals saw no reason to compete there.

Mr. Henry is a newcomer to Mrs. Clinton’s world, having been hired after managing the successful campaign of Tim Kaine for governor of Virginia.

The memorandum is addressed to “interested parties,” and is entitled “An Alternative Nomination Strategy.”

In it, Mr. Henry gives voice to what a number of strategists and both sides have been grappling with privately. In making the case that Iowa is not the power it once was, Mr. Henry also noted that Iowans would not be the first to vote, because 15 states have early vote or vote-by-mail programs that will permit residents to begin voting before the Iowa caucuses, diminishing its influence.

“My recommendation is to pull completely out of Iowa and spend the money and Senator Clinton’s time on other states,” he wrote, adding, “Worst case scenario: this effort may bankrupt the campaign and provide little if any political advantage.”

---Mike Henry-
http://www.ced.org/projects/prek.shtml


Mike Henry, Deputy Campaign Manager, Hillary Clinton for President
http://www.ced.org/docs/multimedia/2007prekcon_12henry.wmv

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