2012年10月26日金曜日

富裕層2012

富裕層が発表された。
 クレディ・スイスが発表した12年の世界の富裕層数ランキングによると、
純資産100万ドル(約8000万円)以上を持つ富裕層は日本に約360万人おり、
米国に次いで2位だった。前年より約8万3000人増え、17年には540万人に
拡大すると予測している。

Global Wealth 2012: The Year in Review Credit-Swiss

ランキング
・純資産100万ドル以上
 1位 米国 1102万3000人 1102万人÷31357万人→人口比3.51%
 2位 日本 358万1000人   358万人÷12779万人→人口比2.80%
 3位 仏  228万4000人   228万人÷ 6544万人→人口比3.48%

・純資産5000万ドル以上
 1位 米国 約3万8000人
 2位 中国 約4700人
 3位 独  約4000人
 4位 日本 約3400人

財政危機で欧州の富裕層は低下、中国は上昇とのこと。
振込み詐欺扇動になるためか、定年を迎えた富裕層が報道から消えた。
日本の富裕層の単純人口比は米国や仏よりも低い。
富裕層を対象にしていた外資系プライベートバンクが、日本から多くが撤退。
規制が厳しいためか、信用されなかったか、利用者が少なかったのかも
しれない。
プライベートバンクの犯罪行為が国際的に問題視されたこともあった。
富裕層と貧困層の比率をどんなものだろうか。

100万ドル富裕層は1010万人
HSBC 時価総額1位
さもしい米富裕層
IRS UBS顧客情報で脱税者起訴
おまじないのEUストレステスト
Death to Capitalism
HSBC AIJ資産返還へ
租税回避地資産 最大2500兆円
AIJ類似投資ファンド


---富裕層:日本360万人で世界2位 スイスの金融大手発表---
毎日新聞 2012年10月22日 18時49分
http://mainichi.jp/select/news/20121023k0000m040022000c.html

 スイスの金融大手クレディ・スイスが22日発表した12年の世界の富裕層数ランキングによると、純資産100万ドル(約8000万円)以上を持つ富裕層は日本に約360万人おり、米国に次いで2位だった。前年より約8万3000人増え、17年には540万人に拡大すると予測している。
 ランキングは、1位の米国が1102万3000人、2位の日本が358万1000人、3位のフランスが228万4000人。
 一方、5000万ドル(約40億円)以上の純資産を持つ超富裕層は、日本が約3400人で4位。1位は約3万8000人の米国が断トツで、2位は経済成長で躍進した中国の約4700人、3位はドイツの約4000人だった。(共同)


---Global wealth falls for first time since financial crisis---
By Astrid Wendlandt
PARIS | Wed Oct 17, 2012 8:20am EDT
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/17/us-luxury-creditsuisse-idUSBRE89G0R020121017

(Reuters) - The combined wealth of all individuals has fallen this year for the first time since the financial crisis of 2007-08, with a drop in austerity-hit Europe outweighing a small increase in China, a Credit Suisse report has found.

The study found the wealth of all individuals - defined as assets such as income, real estate, savings and investments less debt - fell 5 percent in dollar terms to $223 trillion by mid-2012 from the same time the year before.

The main driver of the decline was Europe, where wealth fell 14 percent in dollar terms. But the study also attributed the fall to economic recessions in a broader range of countries, lower equity prices and relatively subdued housing markets.

Meanwhile, wealth in China grew 3 percent in dollar terms, the biggest winner this year, Credit Suisse said.

At constant exchange rates, global wealth rose 1 percent over the period, the smallest increase since the 2007-08 crisis.

The report published on Wednesday noted the European luxury goods sector had proven resilient, posting organic growth, which excludes acquisitions, at a high-teen percentage in the 12 months to June 30.

But Credit Suisse said it was cautious looking through to the second half of 2013, forecasting top-line growth would slow to 7-8 percent with "a high level of uncertainty and no visible prospects of growth acceleration until the second half of 2013."

It said a weak macroeconomic environment in Europe, rising taxation for the rich and wealth erosion should take its toll on luxury sales in the region, a trend which would be somewhat mitigated by tourist buyers from emerging markets.

It also predicted sales momentum in China - the luxury market's biggest driver of growth - should be impacted by an economic slowdown and a pullback on gift-giving, which would continue to weigh on luxury sales in China until a change in the country's leadership was complete.

China's ruling Communist Party is preparing for a once-in-a-decade leadership transition next month which could imply changes in the country's policies and economics.

WEALTH CREATION

The report comes after consultancy Bain on Monday forecast global luxury sales growth would drop to 5 percent at constant currencies this year from 13 percent last year.

Meanwhile, the latest trading update from LVMH, the world's biggest luxury group, showed a sequential slowdown in sales growth for the third quarter running as Chinese and Europeans cut spending.

The Credit Suisse report forecast total household wealth would increase by an average of 8 percent annually over the next five years, driven by emerging markets like China, Brazil, Malaysia, Russia or India.

Mean wealth per adult is projected to rise to $67,000 by 2017 from $48,500 in 2012.

Today, emerging market consumers account for around 50 percent of luxury sales for the big luxury names, a proportion that Credit Suisse expects to increase given the faster wealth creation in emerging markets.

China is expected to surpass Japan as the second-wealthiest country in the world by 2017 while the United States should maintain its leading position, the report said.

It also found the United States was still the largest individual luxury market in the world - except for watches - but relative to the aggregate wealth of the country, penetration of European luxury goods was lower than in other regions.

"Part of this is cultural, part is brand awareness and part is a long-term penetration opportunity for European luxury names," the report said.

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